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The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio: Asset Allocation for a New Macro Era

Updated: 2 hours ago

Front cover of the Regime-Adaptive Portfolio Whitepaper in navy and cream by Archive Capital. Learn why the macro regime has fundamentally changed and how this new asset allocation framework is built for today's environment.

Markets have changed. Most portfolios haven’t.


The disinflationary world that made 60–40 work is gone. Debt is extreme, valuations are stretched and correlations are unstable. This paper sets out a new framework for asset allocation built for today’s environment.


It classifies assets by behaviour, not labels; sizes exposures by risk, not capital; and uses adaptive strategies alongside traditional assets to build a portfolio that can participate in upside yet stay resilient when the regime shifts.



  • Why the macro regime has fundamentally changed

  • Where traditional allocation falls short

  • The role of adaptive strategies like trend

  • The 40–20–40 regime-adaptive allocation

  • Performance versus 60–40 across regimes since 1990

  • The importance of smart leverage


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The information and commentary presented in this website by Archive Capital is of a general nature for information and education purposes. It is not to be used or considered as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any securities or other financial instruments; and does not constitute an investment recommendation or investment advice.


This material is: (i) for the private information of the reader, and Archive Capital is not soliciting any action based upon it; (ii) not to be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal; and (iii) based upon information that Archive Capital considers to be reliable.


The information in this website has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness have not been verified and are not guaranteed. The opinions, estimates and projections constitute the judgment of Archive Capital and are subject to change without notice.


Archive Capital does not warrant or represent that the information is accurate, complete, reliable, fit for any particular purpose or merchantable; and does not accept liability for any act (or decision not to act) resulting from the use of this information and related data.


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