Dec 8, 20252 min read
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FEATURED


The Fed at a Crossroads
The fight to choose the next Federal Reserve Chair could be the most consequential since Paul Volcker’s appointment in 1979
Aug 18, 2025


Does Germany need a new economic model?
Jan 2025. The question isn’t just whether it can regain momentum; it’s whether a new model is required for the evolving international order.
Jan 21, 2025


Rising Yields and Persistent Spending: The New Bond Market Reality
Nov 2024 The era of ultra-low bond yields is over as governments face significant investment demands on top of existing spending commitments
Nov 21, 2024


The Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy
June 2023. Our latest investment outlook examines why monetary policy has been blunted
Jun 28, 2023


Long and variable lags
December 2022. As monetary tightening impacts with long and variable lags, expectations for a soft landing may be misplaced.
Dec 16, 2022


The Return of the Philips Curve
July 2022. The Fed may have to tolerate higher inflation as the trade-off between inflation and unemployment re-emerges.
Jul 7, 2022


The Fed tightening cycle: is this the end of gradualism?
31st Jan 2022. The Fed may either have to raise rates or reduce the balance sheet more aggressively to tackle inflation.
Jan 30, 2022


Inflation uncertainty: assessing the argument that inflation will eventually moderate
26th November 2021
Will inflation prove to be transitory or persistent?
Nov 25, 2021
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