Long and variable lags
December 2022. As monetary tightening impacts with long and variable lags, expectations for a soft landing may be misplaced.
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- 5 min
Hold back on inflated expectations for equities
Sept 2022. Rising stagflation risks and persistently hawkish centrals banks will continue to be headwinds equities in the coming months.
- 12 min
The Return of the Philips Curve
July 2022. The Fed may have to tolerate higher inflation as the trade-off between inflation and unemployment re-emerges.
- 2 min
Solving the Manager Selection Puzzle
May 2022
Five strategies for overcoming behavioural biases in manager selection.
- 4 min
Why Global Macro may be part of the solution as investors reassess the 60-40 portfolio
This article appeared in the FM Report on 29th April 2022.
- 4 min
Buckle up for quantitative tightening
This article appeared in the Sunday Times on 24th April 202
- 9 min
The Fed tightening cycle: is this the end of gradualism?
31st Jan 2022. The Fed may either have to raise rates or reduce the balance sheet more aggressively to tackle inflation.
- 4 min
Omicron and the Powell pivot
10th December 2021
Why the Powell pivot may be more important than the emergence of Omicron.
- 4 min
Inflation uncertainty: assessing the argument that inflation will eventually moderate
26th November 2021
Will inflation prove to be transitory or persistent?
- 4 min
Stagflation and supply bottlenecks: implications for asset allocation
28th October 2021
The possibility of a regime shift towards stagflation could have significant implications for asset allocation.
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