13 minMacroeconomicsThe Transmission Mechanism of Monetary PolicyJune 2023. Our latest investment outlook examines why monetary policy has been blunted
11 minMacroeconomicsLong and variable lags December 2022. As monetary tightening impacts with long and variable lags, expectations for a soft landing may be misplaced.
12 minMacroeconomicsThe Return of the Philips Curve July 2022. The Fed may have to tolerate higher inflation as the trade-off between inflation and unemployment re-emerges.
9 minMacroeconomicsThe Fed tightening cycle: is this the end of gradualism?31st Jan 2022. The Fed may either have to raise rates or reduce the balance sheet more aggressively to tackle inflation.
4 minMacroeconomicsInflation uncertainty: assessing the argument that inflation will eventually moderate26th November 2021 Will inflation prove to be transitory or persistent?