Long and variable lags
December 2022. As monetary tightening impacts with long and variable lags, expectations for a soft landing may be misplaced.
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- 12 min
The Return of the Philips Curve
July 2022. The Fed may have to tolerate higher inflation as the trade-off between inflation and unemployment re-emerges.
- 9 min
The Fed tightening cycle: is this the end of gradualism?
31st Jan 2022. The Fed may either have to raise rates or reduce the balance sheet more aggressively to tackle inflation.
- 4 min
Inflation uncertainty: assessing the argument that inflation will eventually moderate
26th November 2021
Will inflation prove to be transitory or persistent?
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